Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNCW -400 COLG +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -12.4 (-25.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -8.5 (-21.5) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -9.6 (-22.6) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -8.0 (-21.0) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -8.0 (-21.0) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#163) | -6.4 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#81) | -2.41 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#96) | -3.57 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#37) | 0.360 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 54.5% | 8.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.