Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -20000 ALST +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -25.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -25.3 (-7.3) | 146.8 (-10.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -20.4 (-2.4) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -22.8 (-4.8) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -24.2 (-6.2) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | CIN 88 – 51 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#12) | -0.8 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#66) | 0.11 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#93) | 0.16 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#182) | 0.486 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 44.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 2.09 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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