Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +260 SJSU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +16 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SJSU -7.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -6.8 (-9.2) | 130.2 (+17.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -4.4 (-11.6) | 127.4 (+20.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -8.2 (-7.8) | 127.0 (+21.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -6.9 (-9.1) | 128.0 (+20.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | SJSU 89 – 83 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#347) | -5.3 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#364) | -1.66 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.23 (#362) | -2.52 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#354) | 0.435 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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