Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU -310 LBSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +6 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -8.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -6.6 (-0.6) | 134.9 (+37.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SJSU -7.6 (-1.6) | 134.3 (+37.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SJSU -6.3 (-0.3) | 135.8 (+36.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -7.2 (-1.2) | 136.0 (+36.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | SJSU 82 – 66 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#215) | -6.6 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#258) | -2.22 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#251) | -2.67 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#195) | 0.407 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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