Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | GT -2500 CHSO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GT -11.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -9.3 (+14.7) | 146.9 (+11.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -8.5 (+15.5) | 147.1 (+10.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -9.2 (+14.8) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -11.5 (+12.5) | 147.8 (+10.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | GT 85 – 70 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 14-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#218) | -8.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#302) | -2.41 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#315) | -3.37 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#310) | 0.435 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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