Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -10000 SDAK +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +17 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -15.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -16.7 (+0.3) | 154.0 (+21.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -16.3 (+0.7) | 150.7 (+24.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -15.2 (+1.8) | 154.6 (+20.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -17.8 (-0.8) | 162.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | NEB 83 – 70 SDAK |
| Dec 2, 2020 | NEB 76 – 69 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 86.6 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#67) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#45) | -0.29 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#45) | -1.15 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#36) | 0.453 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 41.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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