Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -13.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -9.9 (+3.1) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -10.5 (+2.5) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -9.4 (+3.6) | 146.4 (+6.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -7.6 (+5.4) | 144.4 (+8.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | NEB 96 – 79 SDAK |
| Dec 2, 2020 | NEB 76 – 69 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-12 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#226) | -9.3 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#253) | 1.16 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#221) | 1.19 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#315) | 0.522 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 45.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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