Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -1100 SDAK +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -24.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -17.9 (-10.9) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -20.0 (-13.0) | 141.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -17.6 (-10.6) | 140.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -14.0 (-7.0) | 143.5 (+1.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | NEB 96 – 79 SDAK |
| Nov 27, 2021 | NEB 83 – 70 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 11-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#53) | -6.8 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#174) | -0.98 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#164) | -1.29 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#87) | 0.562 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 14.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 37.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.6% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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