Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -37.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +43 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -31.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -29.3 (+13.7) | 136.6 (-23.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -30.5 (+12.5) | 136.8 (-23.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.0 (+19.0) | 135.0 (-22.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -24.9 (+18.1) | 132.9 (-19.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | TENN 90 – 62 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#3) | -2.9 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#3) | -0.90 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.32 (#4) | -1.53 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.769 (#1) | 0.384 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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