Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +29 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -25.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -21.7 (+7.3) | 138.9 (-1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -17.4 (+11.6) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -18.3 (+10.7) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -19.7 (+9.3) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | JOES 87 – 65 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#164) | -19.4 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#196) | -3.08 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#269) | -4.61 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.369 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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