Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | JOES -8000 COPP +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -19.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -19.0 (+3.0) | 148.1 (+3.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -14.5 (+7.5) | 143.1 (+8.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -15.5 (+6.5) | 144.3 (+7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -17.2 (+4.8) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | JOES 83 – 54 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#276) | -21.5 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | -2.82 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#234) | -4.62 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#183) | 0.378 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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