All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
UPMC Events Center · November 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money RMU -1000 / CAN +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +8 136 Won
Massey RMU -22.9 (-14.9)
Massey Totals 142.9 (-6.9)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -20.6 (-12.6) 138.2 (-2.2) 90%
Baseline ML RMU -18.8 (-10.8) 139.0 (-3.0) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -16.5 (-8.5) 138.1 (-2.1) 90%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -14.6 (-6.6) 138.5 (-2.5) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2023 CAN 8780 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU CAN
Overall 26-9 3-28
Conference 15-5 3-17
Home 16-2 1-12
Away 8-6 2-15
Neutral 2-1 0-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 76.9 64.8
Avg Pts Against 71.6 78.6
Massey -1.2 (#186) -18.0 (#358)
Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#115) -4.09 (#362)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.15 (#120) -6.13 (#362)
RPI 0.553 (#98) 0.330 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU CAN
FG% 39.7% 40.2%
3PT% 30.8% 34.1%
REB / G 41.0 26.3
OREB / G 13.3 7.1
AST / TO 0.87 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 48.0%
TOV% 19.7% 21.0%
ORB% 34.3% 21.0%
FT Rate 27.9% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 58.9%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 13.6%
DRB% 81.4% 62.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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