Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -165 SDSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -1.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -4.2 (+5.8) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.9 (+6.1) | 136.5 (+9.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.1 (+7.9) | 136.0 (+10.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -4.5 (+5.5) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | SDSU 97 – 80 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#41) | 9.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#10) | 1.47 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.83 (#14) | 2.51 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#16) | 0.696 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.