Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +800 GONZ -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -18.5 (+26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -6.7 (+14.7) | 146.3 (+17.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -8.3 (+16.3) | 148.5 (+15.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -6.5 (+14.5) | 144.6 (+19.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -10.4 (+18.4) | 143.9 (+20.1) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | GONZ 87 – 82 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#62) | 27.0 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#83) | 3.87 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#66) | 6.04 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#59) | 0.765 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 42.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 2.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 11.2% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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