Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 10.3 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +0.6 135.0 60% 55–58 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +6.9 147.6 77% 60–77 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +9.8 146.3 85% 50–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +10.6 151.4 85% 86–81 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -4.4 140.1 33% 85–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Eastern Kentucky +9.6 138.4 81% 73–86 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +1.8 141.4 58% 70–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +16.9 136.0 90% 55–85 ✓
American University @ Navy +0.2 126.6 49% 59–42 ✗
Massachusetts @ Richmond +2.8 144.3 61% 69–59 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham -3.0 140.4 39% 85–67 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +5.9 132.5 65% 79–64 ✗
VMI @ Furman +18.3 160.0 90% 62–75 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +0.4 139.3 48% 73–60 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -2.9 137.9 33% 76–61 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +7.2 141.6 79% 71–84 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay +1.9 140.7 56% 58–57 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +3.4 138.5 75% 66–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +3.7 156.2 66% 71–68 ✗
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.6 150.3 50% 71–63 ✗
North Florida @ Queens University +1.4 159.8 54% 93–79 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +6.5 150.3 68% 61–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont -0.3 144.8 52% 68–82 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -6.7 138.4 26% 86–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Murray State +1.8 137.1 62% 72–82 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +13.6 140.1 88% 73–85 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago +0.9 147.1 60% 59–64 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +12.2 140.8 85% 61–101 ✓
Iowa @ Maryland +3.3 142.3 67% 66–78 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -16.8 143.6 11% 101–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Arkansas -10.7 151.9 19% 92–63 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +6.8 141.4 79% 61–79 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +8.0 152.7 81% 62–88 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -8.8 146.2 19% 84–76 ✓
UNLV @ Fresno State -4.4 138.2 32% 67–65 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton +3.6 152.5 59% 89–78 ✗
Hampton @ Stony Brook +11.1 147.9 86% 73–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers +1.5 130.0 61% 60–63 ✓
Marshall @ App State +9.1 150.5 82% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.