That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–12 on winners spread MAE 7.1 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Michigan State +15.8 156.6 88% 67–79 ✓
Houston @ South Florida -13.5 126.7 11% 83–66 ✓
Alabama @ Florida +1.5 147.5 56% 83–70 ✗
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +15.0 136.9 89% 60–66 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +7.3 161.8 69% 88–99 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina +1.6 144.9 58% 80–88 ✓
Temple @ UCF +8.9 137.0 80% 66–62 ✗
Presbyterian @ North Carolina A&T +1.7 133.3 61% 57–65 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -9.2 144.8 16% 88–63 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Campbell +4.5 131.5 61% 60–54 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Louisville +10.5 132.2 85% 72–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -6.0 143.6 29% 64–60 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +9.1 144.6 84% 58–65 ✓
VCU @ Dayton +1.9 127.6 43% 53–52 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -2.4 140.3 38% 88–73 ✓
Massachusetts @ Richmond +6.4 151.4 79% 72–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford -1.1 135.8 39% 75–67 ✓
Samford @ Mercer +3.8 143.0 71% 80–83 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -3.4 134.0 34% 58–54 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +2.5 148.1 64% 79–80 ✓
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +1.9 158.8 63% 90–94 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.3 150.7 88% 67–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Miami +1.3 157.2 64% 87–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +0.2 131.4 52% 63–49 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova +10.4 130.7 84% 41–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -6.6 134.7 19% 72–67 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.9 145.4 46% 68–70 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling -7.9 137.1 20% 67–61 ✓
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +5.1 127.8 54% 65–50 ✗
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +0.7 127.0 53% 47–51 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -1.7 142.6 46% 73–78 ✗
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +5.7 140.7 72% 65–92 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley +0.7 139.5 53% 71–69 ✗
Penn State @ Northwestern +6.7 133.2 73% 74–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -7.0 138.9 20% 90–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco -5.1 135.9 28% 79–74 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese -1.3 148.1 40% 82–92 ✗
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate -1.0 138.1 41% 82–77 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +7.4 134.0 74% 77–72 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.4 151.3 82% 67–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.