Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Islanders
89
–
67
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
Northwestern State
Demons
Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | AMCC -450 NWST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -11.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -10.4 (+11.6) | 151.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -10.6 (+11.4) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -11.6 (+10.4) | 150.9 (+5.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -11.3 (+10.7) | 150.4 (+5.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#208) | -13.6 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#99) | -2.76 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#118) | -3.71 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#161) | 0.477 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 12.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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