Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | WOF -135 UTC +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -1.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -1.1 (-6.9) | 135.8 (+6.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.6 (-7.4) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.9 (-7.1) | 143.4 (-1.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.5 (-6.5) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#95) | 10.5 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | 2.09 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | 2.60 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.618 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 39.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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