Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -330 ALCN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +15 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -8.3 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -5.1 (-20.1) | 127.8 (-12.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -4.3 (-19.3) | 129.3 (-14.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -3.5 (-18.5) | 130.9 (-15.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -3.2 (-18.2) | 128.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ALCN 83 – 65 JKST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | JKST 89 – 86 ALCN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JKST 71 – 63 ALCN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | JKST 72 – 69 ALCN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ALCN 87 – 73 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-15 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#204) | -5.9 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#190) | -1.64 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#188) | -1.95 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#143) | 0.469 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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