Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | CLE -550 PFW +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -11.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -9.1 (-2.1) | 144.6 (-21.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.5 (-2.5) | 149.9 (-26.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -9.2 (-2.2) | 152.1 (-29.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -9.4 (-2.4) | 148.6 (-25.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | PFW 92 – 86 CLE |
| Jan 4, 2026 | PFW 74 – 71 CLE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CLE 68 – 57 PFW |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CLE 68 – 58 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | CLE 75 – 72 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 15-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#198) | -8.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | -1.51 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#163) | -2.20 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#190) | 0.399 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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