Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -115 CIT -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +4 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -2.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -1.9 (+2.1) | 158.8 (+25.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -1.7 (+2.3) | 154.9 (+29.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.7 (+3.3) | 157.0 (+27.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -1.0 (+3.0) | 158.8 (+25.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#266) | -3.6 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#246) | -0.72 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#250) | -1.21 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#266) | 0.468 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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