Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD +100 MOST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -0.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -0.7 (-2.7) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.6 (-2.6) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -0.5 (-2.5) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -0.8 (-2.8) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2025 | BRAD 69 – 60 MOST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 60 MOST |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BRAD 64 – 54 MOST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | BRAD 58 – 40 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#124) | 6.9 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#235) | 0.35 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#229) | 0.83 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#247) | 0.507 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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