Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Buccaneer Fieldhouse · January 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -11.0 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money CHSO +450 / GWEB -650
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual GWEB +25 151 Lost
Massey GWEB -12.7 (-12.3) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (+9.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 29% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -9.2 (-15.8) 144.8 (+6.2) 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -10.0 (-15.0) 142.2 (+8.8) 18% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -10.2 (-14.8) 144.2 (+6.8) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -9.5 (-15.5) 145.2 (+5.8) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB
Dec 31, 2025 CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB
Feb 8, 2025 CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB
Jan 2, 2025 CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB
Feb 15, 2024 GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO

Game Analysis

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