Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM +175 TXSO -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -7.9 (+1.9) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -6.2 (+0.2) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -6.7 (+0.7) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.1 (+0.1) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#333) | -0.2 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#329) | -0.22 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#334) | -0.07 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#261) | 0.507 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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