Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | NU -300 PSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -9.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.7 (-10.7) | 133.2 (+10.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -7.4 (-11.4) | 134.3 (+9.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -7.2 (-11.2) | 134.4 (+9.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.5 (-10.5) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#46) | 4.7 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#62) | 1.04 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#57) | 1.38 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#117) | 0.576 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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