They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Alico Arena · January 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FGCU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Under
Money FGCU -650 / UNF +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total FGCU win
Actual FGCU +7 141 Won
Massey FGCU -13.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 150.6 (-9.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FGCU -11.3 (-4.3) 150.7 (-9.7) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FGCU -12.4 (-5.4) 151.0 (-10.0) 88% ✓
Baseline ML FGCU -12.8 (-5.8) 150.9 (-9.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FGCU -12.0 (-5.0) 149.8 (-8.8) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 UNF 76 – 70 FGCU
Feb 12, 2026 FGCU 90 – 81 UNF
Feb 25, 2025 FGCU 86 – 82 UNF
Feb 8, 2025 FGCU 84 – 70 UNF
Feb 29, 2024 FGCU 79 – 60 UNF

Game Analysis

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