Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -110 TULN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -2.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -1.6 (+6.4) | 144.9 (+23.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -1.9 (+6.1) | 144.7 (+23.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -0.8 (+7.2) | 145.6 (+22.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -0.9 (+7.1) | 145.4 (+22.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#192) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#125) | -0.11 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#143) | -0.17 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#164) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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