Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT -160 PRES +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NCAT -4.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -1.7 (+6.3) | 133.3 (-11.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -1.4 (+6.6) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -2.0 (+6.0) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -1.4 (+6.6) | 136.3 (-14.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.