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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
21–7 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
28 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+13.2 | 137.8 | 86% | 74–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.5 | 125.2 | 23% | 70–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 136.0 | 79% | 60–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 150.7 | 46% | 96–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.0 | 134.0 | 85% | 70–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.1 | 142.9 | 22% | 81–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 125.6 | 77% | 71–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.8 | 145.4 | 67% | 54–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.5 | 143.6 | 83% | 68–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.7 | 132.3 | 26% | 75–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.5 | 159.2 | 85% | 79–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-13.6 | 148.0 | 13% | 82–54 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.0 | 138.8 | 40% | 66–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 146.1 | 28% | 85–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.5 | 145.6 | 26% | 81–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.9 | 137.9 | 39% | 67–75 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.1 | 143.3 | 32% | 76–53 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.0 | 129.0 | 28% | 71–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 141.8 | 54% | 74–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 141.8 | 74% | 75–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.7 | 149.4 | 90% | 57–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 148.9 | 32% | 74–63 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 140.4 | 49% | 56–88 | ✗ |
|
|
+19.1 | 131.9 | 90% | 59–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.7 | 141.7 | 86% | 64–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.4 | 130.3 | 66% | 75–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.3 | 138.0 | 84% | 65–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 153.7 | 66% | 84–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.