Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -5.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.6 (-8.4) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -7.0 (-4.0) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.9 (-4.1) | 150.2 (-13.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -6.9 (-4.1) | 150.6 (-13.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-6 | 19-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#56) | 18.0 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#99) | 3.52 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#97) | 6.45 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#81) | 0.678 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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