Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -7.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -6.7 (-1.7) | 136.0 (-11.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -7.4 (-2.4) | 136.8 (-11.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.3 (-2.3) | 136.5 (-11.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.7 (-0.7) | 140.2 (-15.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UK 87 – 82 LSU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UK 75 – 74 LSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UK 95 – 64 LSU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | LSU 75 – 74 UK |
| Jan 4, 2023 | UK 74 – 71 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 18-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 20.7 (#3) | 17.6 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#8) | 2.12 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#8) | 3.29 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.668 (#8) | 0.562 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 44.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 43.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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