Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -1.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.6 (+9.4) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.2 (+8.8) | 137.4 (+20.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -1.2 (+8.8) | 138.8 (+19.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -0.4 (+10.4) | 141.0 (+17.0) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
Game Analysis
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