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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.4 | 143.4 | 82% | 74–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.0 | 130.7 | 57% | 59–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.7 | 144.1 | 78% | 78–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.8 | 163.1 | 90% | 79–95 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 136.5 | 49% | 50–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.1 | 132.1 | 36% | 70–50 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.1 | 154.7 | 85% | 75–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 133.2 | 43% | 69–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.4 | 144.1 | 22% | 81–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.