Betting Lines
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB +120 AAMU -141 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +20 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UAPB -1.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -2.1 (-17.9) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -0.8 (-19.2) | 131.5 (-11.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -1.6 (-18.4) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -1.6 (-18.4) | 134.1 (-14.1) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-17 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#342) | -10.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#348) | -1.67 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.47 (#349) | -2.00 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#248) | 0.391 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 35.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.