Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -9.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -6.4 (-8.6) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -9.7 (-5.3) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -8.4 (-6.6) | 141.6 (+5.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -9.5 (-5.5) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AUB 71 – 67 SC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AUB 66 – 63 SC |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AUB 86 – 55 SC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | AUB 101 – 61 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#105) | 18.3 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#81) | 3.73 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#97) | 4.94 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#53) | 0.688 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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