Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -0.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.0 (+5.0) | 130.7 (-5.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -1.4 (+5.6) | 131.2 (-6.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -1.3 (+5.7) | 131.8 (-6.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -1.3 (+5.7) | 129.6 (-4.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#333) | -7.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#294) | -2.87 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#291) | -4.08 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#296) | 0.403 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 22.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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