Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +13 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -0.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.0 (+13.0) | 136.5 (-23.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -0.5 (+12.5) | 137.4 (-24.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -0.3 (+12.7) | 137.3 (-24.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -1.7 (+11.3) | 137.3 (-24.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | TXSO 74 – 73 SOU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SOU 84 – 73 TXSO |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SOU 66 – 57 TXSO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SOU 67 – 58 TXSO |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TXSO 68 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#235) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#195) | 0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#237) | 0.35 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#179) | 0.531 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.