Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -1.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -0.4 (-6.4) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.5 (-6.5) | 133.5 (-1.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.6 (-6.6) | 135.4 (-3.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.2 (-6.2) | 133.6 (-1.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | 4.6 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#168) | 2.34 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#169) | 3.21 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#176) | 0.572 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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