Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +7 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -2.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -0.2 (-6.8) | 150.7 (+34.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -0.7 (-7.7) | 149.6 (+35.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.4 (-7.4) | 148.5 (+36.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.1 (-8.1) | 150.5 (+34.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#315) | -7.2 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#324) | -0.92 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#321) | -1.70 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#337) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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