Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -20.8 (-27.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -14.5 (-21.5) | 159.2 (-8.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -13.4 (-20.4) | 156.8 (-5.8) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -13.2 (-20.2) | 155.5 (-4.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -15.2 (-22.2) | 154.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
Game Analysis
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