Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -5.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -4.2 (-1.8) | 146.1 (+17.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -4.7 (-1.3) | 146.6 (+17.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -4.8 (-1.2) | 148.3 (+15.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -4.4 (-1.6) | 149.4 (+14.6) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 5-15 |
| Home | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#342) | -4.1 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#272) | -0.43 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#280) | -0.41 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#245) | 0.507 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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