Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -7.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -9.1 (+13.1) | 142.9 (+23.1) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -7.0 (+11.0) | 143.4 (+22.6) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -6.7 (+10.7) | 144.4 (+21.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -7.3 (+11.3) | 144.5 (+21.5) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#333) | 0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#345) | -1.14 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.61 (#350) | -1.03 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#348) | 0.443 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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