Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -18.4 (-23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -13.5 (-18.5) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -14.8 (-19.8) | 143.3 (-12.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -14.6 (-19.6) | 144.4 (-13.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -14.0 (-19.0) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NCSU 82 – 73 VT |
| Jan 16, 2025 | VT 79 – 76 NCSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VT 84 – 78 NCSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | NCSU 97 – 77 VT |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NCSU 73 – 69 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#22) | -0.2 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#72) | -0.46 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#65) | -0.40 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#76) | 0.468 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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