Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | SJU -210 DEP +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -3.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -2.9 (+2.1) | 153.7 (+19.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -0.9 (+4.1) | 153.6 (+19.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -0.4 (+4.6) | 153.9 (+19.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -0.1 (+5.1) | 153.9 (+19.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#91) | 6.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#118) | 1.72 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#87) | 2.31 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.553 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.