I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Butler Bulldogs
56 – 71
FINAL Conference
Seton Hall Pirates
Big East Conference · Hinkle Fieldhouse · January 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -3.5 Away covered
O/U 131.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BTLR win
Actual HALL +15 127 Lost
Massey HALL -9.1 (-5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 128.3 (-1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -6.0 (-9.0) 129.0 (-2.0) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -6.4 (-8.6) 129.6 (-2.6) 25% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -6.7 (-8.3) 130.9 (-3.9) 24% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HALL -6.2 (-8.8) 130.2 (-3.2) 24% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BTLR 82 – 77 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 76 – 64 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BTLR HALL
Overall 14-19 21-11
Conference 6-14 11-8
Home 9-7 13-3
Away 3-8 6-5
Neutral 1-4 2-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 63.1 70.6
Avg Pts Against 67.8 66.4
Massey -0.3 (#180) 13.2 (#25)
Bradley-Terry 1.71 (#59) 2.44 (#32)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.31 (#56) 3.36 (#30)
RPI 0.541 (#103) 0.618 (#26)
Shooting & Four Factors BTLR HALL
FG% 40.6% 42.8%
3PT% 32.5% 29.8%
REB / G 32.8 38.7
OREB / G 9.8 11.1
AST / TO 0.81 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 48.4%
TOV% 21.9% 15.1%
ORB% 29.8% 29.7%
FT Rate 21.7% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 43.6%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 18.9%
DRB% 74.7% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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