Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -5.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -2.9 (+10.9) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -4.4 (+12.4) | 138.7 (+3.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -4.3 (+12.3) | 139.2 (+2.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -3.5 (+11.5) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#146) | 10.4 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | 1.36 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#106) | 2.18 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#163) | 0.577 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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