Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -23.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -14.7 (-2.7) | 149.4 (-23.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -18.2 (-6.2) | 147.3 (-21.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -18.3 (-6.3) | 146.4 (-20.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -16.6 (-4.6) | 148.0 (-22.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUKE 85 – 79 GT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | DUKE 78 – 70 GT |
| Dec 21, 2024 | DUKE 82 – 56 GT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | DUKE 84 – 79 GT |
| Dec 2, 2023 | GT 72 – 68 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-10 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#7) | -0.0 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#11) | -0.24 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.80 (#10) | 0.01 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#23) | 0.475 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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