Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DUKE -10000 GT +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -23.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -18.6 (-10.6) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -17.3 (-9.3) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -16.1 (-8.1) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -17.8 (-9.8) | 144.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUKE 85 – 79 GT |
| Dec 21, 2024 | DUKE 82 – 56 GT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | DUKE 84 – 79 GT |
| Dec 2, 2023 | GT 72 – 68 DUKE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DUKE 86 – 43 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-0 | 14-6 |
| Away | 10-1 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 27.8 (#1) | 4.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#5) | 0.80 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.16 (#4) | 0.89 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#3) | 0.500 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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