Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money RMU +125 / YSU -145
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual YSU +4 124 Lost
Massey YSU -4.2 (+0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 149.4 (-25.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 18% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -6.0 (+2.0) 143.6 (-19.6) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -4.9 (+0.9) 146.7 (-22.7) 29% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -4.5 (+0.5) 149.1 (-25.1) 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -5.3 (+1.3) 145.9 (-21.9) 31% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 68 – 53 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 80 – 77 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 89 – 78 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 72 – 70 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 8-24 19-15
Conference 5-16 12-9
Home 4-10 13-7
Away 4-14 6-8
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 71.6
Avg Pts Against 75.5 70.8
Massey -9.4 (#316) -0.9 (#196)
Bradley-Terry -2.86 (#344) -0.59 (#233)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.58 (#338) -0.78 (#234)
RPI 0.408 (#317) 0.459 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 43.4% 44.1%
3PT% 33.2% 31.3%
REB / G 31.6 34.5
OREB / G 7.9 9.7
AST / TO 0.92 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 50.3%
TOV% 20.0% 16.2%
ORB% 23.1% 28.6%
FT Rate 18.2% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 17.0%
DRB% 68.5% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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