Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | ISU -230 TTU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +4 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -2.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (-25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.7 (+3.3) | 127.0 (-29.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -4.1 (-0.1) | 128.5 (-30.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -3.9 (+0.1) | 128.8 (-30.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -3.2 (+0.8) | 128.9 (-30.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-5 | 18-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 13.6 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#3) | 2.35 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.32 (#2) | 3.25 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#62) | 0.525 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 40.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.